Here are this week’s results. We are going to be making an alteration to the CIA criteria as of today, and it will be discussed in my USAToday.com article tomorrow.
Alfredo Aceves is firmly entrenched and CIA thinks he keeps the job after Andrew Bailey comes back. With Bailey having another setback and Aceves with a 63% LOB% we have few worries.
Rafael Soriano is close to “hold” as his K/BB ratio is now exactly 2.5. However, his BPV is below 80, so he keeps a “lose” status for the time being. He is very likely to be a “hold” by next week.
What is going on with Aroldis Chapman? He is still rock solid according to CIA, but his skills softened every week this month. He had a back issue, his velocity is down and he has off-field issues. So, there are some concerns here. But this is exactly why we are using an algorithm; we want to avoid relying on questionable information that may lead us astray.
Tyler Clippard is now a “hold.” He has converted all 12 of his opportunities since ascension to the role, and will hold off Drew Storen according to the team. This is a success for CIA, but we will not count it as a “hit.”
| Pitcher | CIA result | Reason for Change/Comments |
| Jim Johnson | Hold | |
| Alfredo Aceves | Hold | |
| Addison Reed | Hold | |
| Chris Perez | Hold | |
| Jose Valverde | Lose | |
| Jon Broxton | Lose | getting closer to “hold” status |
| Ernesto Frieri | Hold | |
| Matt Capps | Lose | injured-will update Twins next week |
| Rafael Soriano | Lose | K/BB 2.5 but BPV below 80 |
| Ryan Cook | Lose | |
| Tom Wilhelmsen | Hold | Looking rock solid |
| Fernando Rodney | Hold | |
| Joe Nathan | Hold | |
| Casey Janssen | Hold | |
| JJ Putz | Hold | |
| Craig Kimbrel | Hold | |
| Carlos Marmol | Lose | |
| Aroldis Chapman | Hold | |
| Rafael Betancourt | Hold | |
| Brett Myers | Lose | Close to “hold” based on SV/SVO% |
| Kenley Jansen | Hold | |
| Heath Bell | Hold | |
| John Axford | Lose | K/BB still below 2.5 |
| Frank Francisco | Hold | injured-will update Mets next week |
| Jon Papelbon | Hold | |
| Joel Hanrahan | Hold | |
| Huston Street | Hold | |
| Santiago Casilla | Hold | |
| Jason Motte | Hold | |
| Tyler Clippard | Hold | 100% SV/SVO since taking the job |
| Hits | Misses | |
| Hector Santiago | Sean Marshall | |
| Scott Downs | Steve Cishek | |
| Jordan Walden | Dale Thayer | |
| Brian Fuentes | ||
| Rafael Dolis | ||
| Heath Bell | ||
| Scott Downs | ||
| Henry Rodriguez | ||
| Carlos Marmol | ||
| Javy Guerra | ||
| Grant Balfour | ||
| Brandon League | ||
| Brian Fuentes second time |
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Here are the latest #closer predictions from the Closer Identifier Algorithm. We have another small tweak tomorrow http://t.co/a6ccKgAt